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My hypothetcial & actual POTUS vote 1932 on (H/T @PNWPragmatist) #uspoli #politics :
1932:🟦
1936:🟦
1940:🟦
1944:🟦
1948:🟦
1952:🟥
1956:🟥
1960:🟥
1964:🟦
1968:🟦
1972:🟥
1976:🟦
1980:🟥
1984:🟥
1988:🟥
1992:🟥
1996:🟦
Actuals
2000:🟥
2004:🟦
2008:🟦
2012:🟦
2016:🟦
2020:🟦
Do both! My laptop renders it fine. My phone does not.
I posted this through Twitter which cross-posts to Friendica which then federates all over the fediverse so still need to keep it under 280 characters.


We've been saying for decades now (while doing little to nothing about it) that the immigration problem is about dealing with/helping with stabilizing things in those countries. Climate change and now COVID are making things more unstable than ever. Very heart wrenching stories of rural Guatemalans who feel they have no choice but to make a go for the US and the insane measures they go through to do it. Biden administration is "working on" plans to help with stability. It's a huge problem that like so many we are decades behind in addressing.
#politics #Climatechange
https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2021/07/19/guatemala-immigration-climate-change-499281



#Politics
#Sociology



Like on so many issues the Republican party moves further and further away from what Independents and Democrats want for this country. <sarcasm>Good thing the Electoral College/Senator distributions codified into the constitution and ridiculously high levels of gerrymandering and voter disenfranchisement they push through will keep them in power. to prevent the other 2/3rds of us from moving forward with positive change.</sarcasm> Sigh. #uspol #politics https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/2021/03/24/poll-views-gun-laws-after-atlanta-boulder-show-even-deeper-divide/6963810002/
#access:free #ssts:news&#x1F61B;olitics #type:story #tag:Shootings #tag:GunLaws #tag:LawsandOrdinances #tag&#x1F601;isasterAccidentandTragedy #tag:Republicans #tag:RepublicanParty #tag&#x1F62E;verallNegative
I actually am seeing it dimishing fairly quickly. As demographics shift, the white, christian nationalist coalition is clawing with everything it has to hang on to less and less power. Maybe that's my own cognitive bias, hard to say, but the signs all seem to be pointing that way.



When watching the president volunteer that he *didn't* have mini-strokes after no one said he did, my brain instantly went to this Judge Judy self-own clip. So now we know it was mini-strokes and we absolutely should learn more about it. #politics #uspol youtube.com/watch?v=o7SuaI…
I'm less worried about possible mini-strokes than the continuous mini-racisms and mini-despotisms he displays.
We are very much at a tipping point. Whether we tip over into full blown authoritarianism or pull back to some sense of normal healthy government remains to be seen.


Survived the first night! Mostly 3 sigma bad bullshit. A couple of normal partisan speeches. Mostly death carnage and Democrats want to turn us into Venezuela and let scary brown people destroy the suburbs (but we funded HBCU's!). The two things on real matters that Trump should get credit for are opportunity zones (although efficacy remains to be seen) and bringing Republicans along on criminal justice reform after 15 years of preventing it when Democrats tried to make a go of it. Pretty much everything else with any factual basis was at best "I take care of my kids" bragging about just doing what president's do and bromides about middle class support (healthcare, wages, safe jobs, etc) that Republicans work consistently against either explicitly or implicitly. #politics #uspol
Thank you for taking that gut punch for all of us!
I think opportunity zones are probably a bit like TIF districts. . . TIF districts were a gimmick. . .many studies have been done on them and show a negative impact on the communities that use them over-all #uspol


"For close to four years now, he’s shown no interest in putting in the work, no interest in finding common ground, no interest in using the awesome power of his office to help anyone but himself and his friends, no interest in treating the presidency as anything but one more reality show that he can use to get the attention he craves. Donald Trump hasn’t grown into the job because he can’t. And the consequences of that failure are severe: 170,000 Americans dead. Millions of jobs gone while those at the top take in more than ever.” --Barack Obama, 2020 DNC Speech #uspol #politics

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The right is very concerned about Harris's sexual morals from back in the day. That's pretty par for the course from these people. It's especially ironic this year with serial adulterer, sexual assault bragger (grab em by the pussy), and Miss Universe peeping tom (among other things) #politics #uspol https://www.joemygod.com/2020/08/limbaugh-calls-kamala-harris-hoe-and-mattress/


Related to previous post, a graph of eligible voter turnout for every US presidential election. Seems the golden age of high turnout was the second half of the 19th century. #history #politics electproject.org/national-1789-…

224


Top 10 lowest eligible voter turnout elections in the US were in the early. (21st cent. average 59%) #history #politics

Washington 2nd 6%
Monroe 2nd 10%
Washington 1st 11%
Adams 20%
Monroe 1st 23%
Jefferson 2nd 24%
Quincy 27%
Jefferson 1st 32%
Madison 1st 37%
Madison 2nd 40%


I just heard of the center-left "Third Way" think tank thanks to @TheEconomist Checks and Balances podcast episode with @ThirdWayMattB . Looks interesting. Hive mind thoughts on the organization? #uspol #politics thirdway.org

That about sums it up.



I case the Kanye thing wasn't sketchy enough...phony signatures, misleading people signing it, Trump lawyers being involved in the whole thing with the rationalization that it's not a conflict of interest if Kayne's effort is really just to help get Trump elected. Sketchy... #politics #uspol https://www.jsonline.com/story/news/politics/2020/08/07/group-accuses-lawyer-working-trump-and-west-campaigns-simultaneously/3318242001/


Introspection is difficult when you have to look at being part of the reason why a disaster unfolded. The first step is admitted you have a problem. Stuart Stevens does this on this Lincoln Project podcast. He lays it all out and what he sees as the potential future (PS it's not good). It's a great exploration of Republican history, Republican psyche, and how Trump is the ultimate conclusion to decades of cynical posturing and a winning at all costs mindset. #politics #uspol https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/it-was-all-lie-stuart-stevens-on-how-republican-party/id1514968525?i=1000487069964


...and while the Trumpist Republican courting of white grievance in the most racist campaign since George Wallace is disgusting, it is their courting of Qanon conspiracy theorist nutbags that is downright disturbing. #politics #uspol https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/how-the-trump-campaign-came-to-court-qanon-the-online-conspiracy-movement-identified-by-the-fbi-as-a-violent-threat/2020/08/01/dd0ea9b4-d1d4-11ea-9038-af089b63ac21_story.html


"Whenever I tell my Republican friends that I think racial animosity is the root of Trump’s appeal, the inevitable and often angry rejoinder is, “Are you saying that 63 million Americans are racists?” What I try to point out to them is that you don’t have to consider yourself a racist (and, of course, most racists don’t consider themselves racists) but you do have to be willing to accept that having a racist president is less important than something else you are getting from that president...I’m a seventh generation Mississippian who has worked on winning Republican races for governor and Senate across the South, and I’ve never seen Trump’s level of direct racist appeal work." #politics #uspol https://www.usatoday.com/story/opinion/voices/2020/08/02/republicans-embrace-trump-racism-give-up-on-black-voters-column/5559249002/
He tagets the deep feelings of frustrated people. Thanks to social networks he feels the looser's belly
It sure seemed like 63 million racists when Obama was elected president.


God these people are so disgusting. Merchandising COVID-19 from the White House gift shop in the middle of the pandemic. I'm sure conservatives will find this fine somehow... #politics https://www.whitehousegiftshop.com/product-p/covid-heroes.htm

Joyce Donahue reshared this.

https://www.whitehousegiftshop.com/aboutus.asp

"...to actively support Law Enforcement Departments or Agencies by funding special advanced firearms training and by purchasing safe and effective arms for departments often in smaller jurisdictions with limited advanced training budgets."

Huh. I didn't know that.
Yeah apparently, I found this after the fact, they sold the operation ten years ago to this private outfit who retained the right to make it look like an internal operation. Pretty crazy. So it is a bunch of right wing grifters just not the ones I had in mind when I first posted.



Image/Photo

Trump speech at CDC today!


Damn, this is the best description of his speech EVER!

So sadly accurate!

#Covid19 #CoronaVirusUSA #Trump #Politics #Humor



Remember this when your Trump loving friends/family ask "But how's your 401(k) doing?" Even before these huge drops you were doing the same or better each of Obama's terms. And now... #politics #economics

5164


Just a reminder that the models showing Sanders winning against Trumpl had youth vs. everyone else turn out at a record high level *and* that would have to come while there is record turn out in other demographics as well. That makes getting to that record differential even harder. The record high youth turn out in absolute terms hasn't materialized in any of the primaries yet and the differential is in worse shape because the record turn out is happening still in the other age demographics. #politics #uspol #election2020 https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2020/03/04/super-tuesday-bernie-sanders-youth-votes-fell-short-compared-2016/4947795002/

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Democracy is doomed to disappoint. Once you accept that, it’s not so bad.
@Brad Koehn ☑️ “Democracy is the worst form of government, except for all the others.”― Winston S. Churchill


What I was speaking about earlier... #politics #election2020 #coronaviris

In 2018 "...the Trump administration fired the government’s entire pandemic response chain of command, including the White House management infrastructure." #TrumpIncompetence

Yep. Can someone please give Trump a Double Dose of Ebola-Corona!!


Great article studying Sander's electability. TL;DR his apparent viability in polls today would need to be supported with unprecedented (by 6 percentage points) increase in youth voter turn out to prevent his campaign from getting swamped out by Trump and down ballot races getting swamped out too. #politics #Election2020 https://www.vox.com/policy-and-politics/2020/2/25/21152538/bernie-sanders-electability-president-moderates-data
@Hank G AGREED!!

Let's see things stand after Super Tuesday! 😀
PS...while the main story is about Sanders. The analysis wasn't exclusively about him. For example Warren has a double whammy of a problem: "Warren appears to lose at least as many Republicans as Sanders, but does not seem to benefit from any compensating enthusiasm from young voters."


Yeah, I'm not convinced by assertions that Sanders (or anyone else) would beat Trump easily. What will be more comforting to me is if Sanders weathers the coming attacks well.

He hasn't face the sort of vetting and scrutiny that comes from being the front runner. Not, for example, the way Warren has. If Warren makes a come back, she'll be in a lot stronger position to take on Trump for the vetting.

Assuming Sanders takes the attacks and still comes out on top, he'll be in a lot stronger position against Trump. There is a LOT of stuff out there, and it's best for us to deplete this ammo before the Republicans get their turn.
Yes, @Hank G I have heard that podcast, I listened to it a few years back when I was working on a RPG project that was set in Ancient Rome. It is fantastically detailed and draws from a number of great scholarly sources.

Bloomberg is no more a democrat than I'm a Martian. He has certainly not been a Democrat all his life! He ran for NYC mayor the first time on the Republican ticket.

And he was endorsed by Giuliani. He spent $73,000,000 on his campaign, outspending Mark Green 3 to 1. Then he subverted the two-term limits that had just been enacted and ran for a third term he didn't deserve.

He's a Democrat only when it's convenient. Same as Bernie, except Bernie goes between Independent and Democrat.
BTW... nice hashtag: #GTO Get Trump Out
#